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Interferon / Ribavirin Combination Therapy In
Relapsers
Ira M. Jacobson, MD
Ira M. Jacobson, MDIRA M. JACOBSON, MD:
Good evening. I'd like to thank Drs. Schiff and Maddrey for
inviting me to speak to you tonight. From the pioneering work led
by Gary Davis in the late 1980s establishing the role of
interferon, we gleaned what I called in the early days a kind of
50-50 rule. It seemed at that time that half the patients who were
treated with interferon monotherapy responded and half relapsed, so
we had the hubris to think that we were curing 25 percent of our
patients. And we quickly learned with expanding use of interferon
the next couple of years that that was an overestimate...it was
overly optimistic...and that in almost all of our hands, the true
relapse rate was over 70 or 75 percent, leaving me to call the
relapse phenomenon the biggest thorn in the side of the clinical
hepatologists in those days.
As Dr. Schiff showed in his first slide, we made a little leap
forward in the mid-1990s with the recognition that if we took
people who were having a good response at the 6-month point and
extended therapy for 12 or 18 months, that we diminished the
relapse rate somewhat, but we didn't really achieve rates of
sustained response in excess of about 15 percent, even so. We
learned that predictors of relapse could be identified...the same
sorts of things that predict initial responsiveness, like genotype,
viral load, the presence of cirrhosis. There was some tantalizing
evidence that hepatic HCV RNA might identify who's at risk of
relapse; that is, if the liver was still PCR positive at the end of
treatment, those patients had a higher likelihood of relapse, but
that never really came into use because of the logistical barriers
to doing serial liver biopsies. And we learned that if you
re-treated patients who had taken interferon monotherapy for 6
months and then relapsed, 30 to 60 percent of them had a sustained
response if you re-treated them for 12 months after an initial
course of 6 months preceding the relapse.
If you look at these studies, they're very confusing. It's very
difficult to compare them with each other because they're different
sample sizes, different doses of interferon, and different
selection criteria, particularly with regard to whether the initial
relapse...response and relapse, that is...were defined by ALT
normalization alone or RNA negativity at the end of treatment. And
this is very important because the RNA status of the patient at the
end of the first course of therapy is the biggest determinant of
how likely the patient was to respond to interferon monotherapy for
a longer period of time. This needs to be kept in mind when you
look at the data for the U.S. and international multicenter relapse
studies that we're about to remind you of.
And of course, this study was formulated about 3 or 4 years ago,
again led by Gary Davis. And it showed in a nutshell that if you
re-treated somebody who'd taken interferon monotherapy and
relapsed...and it could have been either one or two courses of
monotherapy...that the sustained virologic response rate to a
second course of interferon alone for 6 months was a meager five
percent, and that there was a tremendous difference if you gave the
patient 6 months of interferon and ribavirin, the response rate in
those groups being...in that group being about 50 percent. And
these compelling data led to the initial FDA approval of interferon
and ribavirin for relapse patients back in June 1998, 6 months in
advance of FDA approval for treatment-naive patients.
We were able to do the same kind of virologic profiling, kind of
like a menu: You can choose a virologic parameter from column A and
another one from column B and come up with a much more precise
estimate of the likelihood of sustained response to
interferon/ribavirin in relapsers than we were ever able to do
before, and we've seen that repeated, of course, in the
treatment-naive studies. We learned that if you re-treated a
relapser who was genotype 1 with a high viral load, the sustained
response rate was 25 percent...low, but much better than if you
gave interferon along, of course; genotype 1 low viral load defined
as 2 million or less on the NGI assay. The sustained response rate
improved to 40 percent-Non-genotype 1, mostly genotypes 2 or 3
because of the demographics of the virus in the population study
with a high viral load, 65 percent; and an impressive 100 percent
sustained response rate in the 20 patients in the study who were
genotype non-1 with a low viral load. And so here we saw really for
the first time so impressively that the genotype was even more
important than the viral load as a predictor of sustained
response.
There were some features that I call notable features in that
multicenter relapse study. The definition of relapse was based on
ALT because when we gathered these patients, most of them had been
treated before 1995 or '96, when commercial PCRs weren't really
available. And this gets back to the point I made before: Some of
these patients...all of these patients had had an initial response
and then relapse defined by ALT, but we can reliably predict, based
on historic data, that up to a quarter of these patients never
cleared virus and so they were destined from the outset to have a
much lower likelihood of response to repeat therapy with
interferon/ribavirin, if you believe all the old data, than the
patients who had truly cleared virus.
The problem was there were no retrospective stored sera in these
patients, and we've never been able to go back and prove this
point. But because of this point, we believe that this study
probably underestimated the true rate of sustained response to
combination therapy in relapsers if the relapsers had been confined
to those who had initially cleared RNA. And my own bias here is
that the sustained virologic response rate in these patients would
have been 60 to 70 percent if only those with an initial virologic
response with their 6 months or 12 months of interferon monotherapy
had been included in the study.
Also of note in this study is that the type dose and duration of
initial interferon therapy did not influence the response to
combination therapy. And I've always found the point about duration
very interesting because I would have thought that somebody who'd
relapsed following an initial 12 months of therapy rather than 6
months would have a lower chance of response to therapy. But it may
be that ribavirin helps eliminate that difference.
There was a large U.S. investigators meeting...that is, people
around the country using interferon/ribavirin...that convened in
California in February 1999, and there were lots of intra-treatment
response data, but very little data on sustained response. The
treatment response rates ranged from 40 to 100 percent, but most of
them were at the upper end of this range. There were a large number
of studies on induction therapy, and I should add that there were
studies on induction therapy in naive patients and nonresponders,
as well as relapsers. In the relapsers, as well as in the other
populations, there was always a trend toward a higher initial
response rate with induction therapy, but there were really no data
available yet on whether that...whether induction therapy induces
higher rates of sustained remission later on. I think we'll learn
that in the next 6 to 12 months.
There was little difference in the abstracts presented at that
meeting between 3 and 5 million units t.i.w. There was much more
interest in the potential promise for induction therapy, though
that remains to be proven. And most importantly perhaps from a
practical viewpoint, the efficacy of 12 versus 6 months of
combination therapy was still unproven in the relapser
population.
So there are lots of unresolved issues. Firstly, would treatment
for over 6 months be better for some patients? Well, we don't know
from any randomized trials because the national...the international
studies that we just reviewed were confined to 6 months of
re-treatment. But I strongly consider in my practice 12 months of
therapy in relapsers with genotype 1, high viral loads, and/or
advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis.
From a practical point of view, there are patients in whom you
might consider induction therapy at the present time, and I do in
fact consider it in patients who have advance liver disease and
genotype 1 with high viral loads. Is there a role for PEGylated
interferon? We have no data yet. As you all know, trials have just
been initiated looking at PEG plus ribavirin for treatment-naive
patients, and we're all excited about the prospect of extending
these studies to the relapser and the nonresponder populations in
the near future.
And finally from the scientific viewpoint, I'm sure many of you
who wonder in your offices as I have why some relapsers fail to
respond to re-treatment. And I think here we need the molecular
virologist to help us out. Has a change occurred in terms of
endogenous host response? Is it a change in the quasispecies (?)
profile of the patient? We really don't know what the mechanisms of
viral persistence are in these patients.
And I've talked about relapse after interferon monotherapy, but
I think increasingly, even in the next few months...for those of us
who started using interferon/ribavirin in treatment-naive patients
within the past year, the typical relapser in our practice is not
going to be a relapser after interferon monotherapy but a relapser
after combination therapy.
And so I'm going to close with some thoughts about what to do
with these patients. First, as Dr. McHutchison showed us, relapse
is more likely with 6 versus 12 months of initial combo therapy in
patients with genotype 1 and a high viral load. And I think all of
us would now extend such therapy to 12 months in these particular
patients. Whether we can stop at 6 months in every single patient
with genotype 2 or 3 and a low viral load...or even a high viral
load...remains unclear.
There are no data yet on re-treatment of relapsers after
combination therapy. So what are we going to do from a practical
viewpoint with these patients? Well, the options include
re-treating for a longer time, and that would certainly be
appropriate to think about if you've only treated the patients with
6 months initially of combination therapy. You might consider
induction therapy, though there are no data to suggest that this is
going to make a difference in the rate of sustained remission in
the long run. You might keep the patient waiting for a few months
for the hoped for combination trials with PEG plus ribavirin. You
might consider maintenance therapy, particularly in those patients
with very worrisome histology. And the theme of maintenance therapy
is an increasingly intriguing and discussed one in this field. And
then there's the issue of whether you should consider maintenance
therapy with interferon alone or with interferon and ribavirin
together. We really don't know. And finally, it might be perfectly
appropriate to take a patient with very mild histologic change, who
has relapsed after a course of combination therapy, and just keep
them waiting for a while and see them in the office every 4 to 6
months. And with that, I'll stop. And thank you for your
attention.
[Symposium
Contents]
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